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At the start of 2026, financial markets broadly anticipated that major central banks—particularly the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank—would begin easing monetary policy as inflation moderated and growth momentum slowed.
Periods of geopolitical conflict often trigger sharp market reactions, leading to a common conclusion: “It’s not safe to invest right now.”
While this view feels intuitive, it oversimplifies how markets actually behave during uncertainty.
Global financial markets are increasingly being shaped not just by economic fundamentals, but by geopolitical developments.